350 Odds
- June 24
- by Micah Roberts
- VegasInsider.com
NASCAR Cup Series
Pocono Picks
NFL Point Spread Odds Explained. NFL Point Spread betting is a more complex variation of the NFL Moneyline. Point spread betting incorporates detailed odds that are based on in-depth sports analysis. The spread bet is the most popular way to read and bet on NFL Odds. NCAA Football Championship Odds 2021 College Football National Championship Betting. The College Football Playoff began in 2014 and is a four-team postseason tournament for NCAA FBS schools. Anytime you see odds with a minus in front of it, take the number and that is what you would need to bet in order to win $100 in profit. So, a -450 number would mean that you would have to bet $450 in order to win $100 in profit back. On the other hand, an odds number with a 'plus' in front of it means that the team or player is an underdog.
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2020
- TV-Time: FOX, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Pocono Raceway
- Location: Long Pond, Pennsylvania
Let’s play two.
For the first time in NASCAR Cup Series history, they will have two races at a single track over one weekend. Pocono Raceway’s 2.5-mile tricky triangle gets the honor to debut what could be a common occurrence in future schedules for years to come.
It’s a win-win for everyone involved. The fans (TV only) get Cup racing two straight days and the drivers get a chance to mix up their schedule and perhaps shave off one or more weekends during a hectic year that begins in early February and runs almost to Thanksgiving with few weekends off.
“It’s very intriguing, I think, as you look at the weekend and you look at the shorter races, which means shorter stages, and you have the inversion,” said Saturday’s 9/2 race favorite Kevin Harvick. “The car itself having to be raced twice and the things that you’ll need to try to do to the car. And there are a lot of things to digest in order to keep yourself competitive from one day to the next. So it will be interesting to see how we all manage that.”
NASCAR Cup Odds
Pocono Organics 325 Odds
Saturday June 27, 2020
- Kyle Busch +450
- Kevin Harvick +700
- Martin Truex Jr. +700
- Chase Elliott +800
- Denny Hamlin +800
- Brad Keselowski +800
- Ryan Blaney +1000
- Joey Logano +1100
- Erik Jones +1600
- Kurt Busch +2000
- (Odds Subject to Change)
Pocono Raceway aka 'The Tricky Triangle' will host not one but two NASCAR Cup Series races this weekend. (AP)
Handicapping Busch vs. Harvick
The changes immediately infuse some excitement to a track that doesn't have much passing. Saturday’s Organics 325 is 75 miles shorter than a normal Pocono race so the sense of urgency to make something happen quickly will be on every driver’s mind.
But the real fun is going to be Sunday’s Pocono 350 because the order of finish for lead lap cars on Saturday will be inverted for Sunday so the best cars will be having to do some major passing to move up, and I’m sure they will. That scenario sets up all kinds of differing strategies for teams.
“Kind of depends on what’s going on and what’s happening,” Kyle Busch said. “If you’re struggling along, or pit strategy throws you off and there’s three to go and you’re back in 15th, maybe you want the pole for the next day. We’ll see what happens with that. Obviously, you want as many points as you can possibly get.
“We’ve run real well there the last few years,” Busch continued. “We definitely want to keep that going and try to get a win. If you’re up in the front, or up in the top-five or whatever, you’re going to try to get as much as you can get there and not worry about the next day. You’ll just refocus the next day.”
Oddsmakers favor the No. 4
The Westgate SuperBook listed Harvick as the favorite even though he’s never won at Pocono in 38 Cup starts (12 top-fives, four runner-ups). It’s more about what he’s done using the race package featuring engines with 550 horsepower that includes two wins in eight races this season.
But Kyle Busch has had a much better recent history at Pocono that includes three wins in the last five Pocono races and leading laps in his last nine starts there. And then there’s the desperation of the defending Cup Champion not winning through 13 races so far. It burns him up internally.
Handicapping the Double
Everything I write about here is geared towards Saturday’s race but can also be applied to Sunday as well. The SuperBbook opened odds only for Saturday’s race and when it’s over they’ll immediately post Sunday’s odds to win.
There are no practices for either race so the crew at the shops in Charlotte will have all the initial pressure placed on them to be fast right off the hauler. If they’re fast Saturday, they should be fast on Sunday. But the inversion on the lineup puts a little extra twist to Sunday.
Clear air will be golden, and starting position will still be key. Taking the best cars and starting them 20th through 25th, or wherever, will be fun watching them traverse through the field where they’ll face the dangers of being wrecked more.
The Best vs. the Rest
A Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota has won the last five Pocono races, the last coming from Denny Hamlin in July. It was his fifth Pocono win, but first since 2010. His first two Cup wins came at Pocono in 2006, as a rookie.
This is a great track for him especially considering he’s been one of the best using this week’s race package that he’s captured two wins with (Darlington, Homestead). Throw in his Daytona 500 win and it makes three wins to lead the series. No driver has been more productive since the start of last season when he also won the Daytona 500 making it nine wins and 26 top-fives between the past 39 races.
Martin Truex Jr. has two wins at Pocono, but this week’s race package has been inconsistent for him with only one top-five (Atlanta) using it. His win this season at Martinsville was using the 750 horsepower package.
The Gibbs driver I like to perform well on equal terms with Busch and Hamlin is Erik Jones who leads all active drivers with an eighth-place average finish at Pocono. Six Cup starts and four top-fives, including runner-up behind Hamlin in July. The bonus with Jones is that as a bettor or fantasy player you get Busch and Hamlin quality with the car while getting 25/1 betting odds. I like him to finish in the top-five of both races and get back into the standings top-16.
Team Penske have combined for five wins so far this season, JGR cars have four wins, Stewart-Haas Racing has two with Harvick, and Hendrick Motorsports has two. Of all the drivers using this week’s race package, I’ve been most impressed with Chase Elliott who has been consistently good everywhere.
Elliott only has one win and has just two top-fives in eight Pocono starts, but his team has given him eight cars capable of winning in all eight races using this week’s race package. He’s finished eighth or better in six of the eights starts (5 top-fives), but the two races that he didn’t finish well he could have won due to arguably having the best car.
Kyle Busch punted him at Darlington when he had fresher tires and was about to make the late pass on eventual winner Hamlin. At Las Vegas, he won the first two stages and led 70 laps before a tire went down at the start of the final stage and put him a lap down.
Ryan Blaney won his first career Cup race at Pocono, the last Ford to win at Pocono back in 2017, and he also won a Truck Series race there in 2013 showing that he knows how to win which makes 14-to-1 odds somewhat attractive considering he’s tied for the series lead with seven top-fives. Joey Logano’s two wins came before the pandemic shutdown but does have a 2012 Pocono win to his credit. Brad Keselowski’s only Pocono win was in 2011, but in 20 of his career Cup starts there he has 10 top-fives.
One of the main storylines this weekend has appeared at almost every race since re-starting the season. The rain has been a dastardly villain. Last week, it shut down Talladega until Monday. It’s as if the haulers have some magnetic pull that draws the clouds to each race track with them.
The Pocono mountains always have clouds floating and if I had to pick one track in my last 40 years of regularly watching NASCAR, Pocono Raceway would be my top pick to have the most rain delays or race day moves to Monday. And guess what, there’s an 80 percent chance of rain Saturday and a 20 percent chance on Sunday. But Monday is sunny with only a 10 percent chance of rain.
The largest NASCAR payout in Las Vegas sportsbook history happened due to a Pocono race being called because of rain in 2016. When the last rain delay hit, all the best cars pitted while Chris Buescher stayed out and ran the last 12 laps under caution as the leader. And then the fog hit and the race was called with 22 laps remaining. Chris Buescher was 1000/1 to win at the Superbook with a few small bets taking a shot on him.
It’s because of the weather possibilities that make taking a long shot a better bet at Pocono than most places. Buescher is 500/1 this week and someone like Ricky Stenhouse Jr., who has had great cars using this week’s race package is 300/1.
SHR driver Aric Almirola's team has been dialed in the last two weeks getting their first two top-fives of the season and he's listed at 100/1 to win Saturday.
Enjoy the doubleheader!
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Pocono Raceway
Top-5 Finish Prediction
Saturday - June 27, 2020
1) #9 Chase Elliott (7/1)2) #11 Denny Hamlin (7/1)
3) #20 Erik Jones (25/1)
4) #18 Kyle Busch (6/1)
5) #4 Kevin Harvick (9/2)
Sunday - June 28, 2020
1) #18 Kyle Busch (5/1)2) #20 Erik Jones (25/1)
3) #2 Brad Keselowski (12/1)
4) #11 Denny Hamlin (7/1)
5) #12 Ryan Blaney (14/1)
NASCAR Cup Series
Weekly Predictions
eNASCAR Picks - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS)
For bettors looking at a larger score and more action, they can turn their attention to eNASCAR DFS. To learn more, check out our beginner's guide to eNASCAR daily fantasy sports.Money lines (also called American Odds) are one of the most common ways to bet on sports. They do not use a point spread, and are straight-up bets on who will win the game or event.
To properly explain how to bet the money line, the first thing to understand is the difference between a negative and positive money line. Both money lines use $100 as the basis point for calculating payouts, but they’re calculated differently.
How to Calculate Money Line Payouts
A negative money line is indicated with a ‘-‘ in front of a number, like -230. The number represents the amount of money that would need to be wagered in order to win $100 in profit. So, a -230 money line would require a wager of $230 to win $100 more, for a total payout of $330 ($230 wager + $100 profit). Of course a $230 bet is not required, it’s just the basis for calculating the payout. With odds of -230, a $23 bet would return $10 in profit, or a $2.30 bet would return $1 in profit.
A positive money line is indicated with a ‘+’ in front of a number. In this case, the number represents the amount that would be won from a $100 wager. So, a +170 money line means that a $100 wager would return $170 in profit, for a total payout of $270 ($100 wager + $170 profit = $270). A bet of $10 would result in a $17 profit, and a total payout of $27 ($10 wager + $17 profit = $27).
More About Negative Lines
Generally a negative money line represents the favored team in a match. There are exceptions to this and we’ll discuss that later. For now, think negative money line = favorite.
In most two-team games like football, baseball or soccer, one team will have a negative money line, and the opponent will have a positive money line. The team with a negative money line is the favorite, and the team with the positive money line is the underdog.
Example:
- New England Patriots +140
- Indianapolis Colts -160
In this case, the Colts are the favorite. It would take a bet of $16 to win $10 in profit, for a total payout of $26 ($16 wagered + $10 profit = $26). For the Patriots, as the underdog, it would only take a bet of $10 to win $14 in profit, for a total payout of $24 ($10 wager + $14 profit = $24).
Since the favored team is considered more likely to win, and because no handicap is being used, it takes a larger wager to win a smaller profit on them.
More About Positive Lines
In a 2-team game where one team has a positive money line, they are always the underdog. Since they’re underdogs, it requires a smaller wager to win a larger profit.
Example:
- Pittsburgh Penguins +130
- New York Rangers -150
In this case, a bet of $10 on the Penguins would result in a $13 profit if they win, for a total payout of $23 ($10 wager + $13 profit = $23). For the Rangers, it would take a bet of $15 to win $10 in profit, for a $25 total payout ($15 wager + $10 profit = $25).
Games Where Both Teams Are Negative
In games like baseball or football, it’s not uncommon to see both teams represented with a negative money line. When this happens, it means the teams are very closely matched.
For Example:
- New York Yankees -113
- Boston Red Sox -107
In the scenario above, the game is considered very close, with a slight edge towards the Yankees. It would require a bet of $113 to win $100 on the Yankees, or $107 bet to win $100 on the Red Sox.
Sports With Multiple Teams or Competitors
Of course there are sports with multiple competitors in a single event, like horse racing, Olympic events, and golf. This is also the case in futures bets, where the handicapper is choosing between multiple teams to win a seasonal champion.
In this case, there will generally be one favorite, indicated with a negative money line, and the rest of the field will have positive money lines. Sometimes, when there are no clear favorites, there may not be a single competitor with a negative money line. In this case, the competitor with the lowest positive money line is favored.
Example:
Tiger Woods +600
Phil Mickelson +850
Martin Kaymer +1300
Lee Westwood +1600
Steve Stricker +2300
In this case, Tiger Woods is the favorite, but he has a positive money line. A bet of $10 on him would result in a $60 profit if he wins. A bet of $10 on Steve Stricker would result in a $230 profit if he were to win.
Converting Moneyline Odds to Fractional Odds
We all learned how to do fractions in elementary school, and once you understand money line odds, the conversions are simple.
How to Convert Positive Money Lines to Fractional Odds
To convert a positive money line into fractional odds, divide the number in the money line by 100.
Examples:
- +250 Money Line: 250/100 = 2.5/1 (5/2) Fractional Odds
- +400 Money Line: 400/100 = 4/1 Fractional Odds
- +650 Money Line: 650/100 = 6.5/1 (13/2) Fractional Odds
How to Convert Negative Lines to Fractional Odds
Fl350 Odyssey For Sale
To convert negative money lines to fractional odds, divide the number in the money line by 100. Put that number on the right side of a fraction which begins with ‘1/’. Some numbers on the right side of the fraction will have a decimal in them. Since decimals are not used in fractional odds, they are removed by multiplying both numbers in the fraction by 2.
Examples:
- -200 Money Line: 200/100 = 2. Put the 2 on the right side of a fraction beginning with 1/, resulting in fractional odds of 1/2.
- -350 Money Line: 350/100 = 3.5. Put the 3.5 on the right side of a fraction beginning with 1/, resulting in fractional odds of 1/3.5. Multiply both numbers in the fraction by 2 to remove the decimal = 2/7 fractional odds.
- -650 Money Line: 650/100 = 6.5. Put the 6.5 on the right side of a fraction beginning with 1/, resulting in fractional odds of 1/6.5. Multiply both numbers in the fraction by 2 to remove the decimal = 2/13 fractional odds.
Converting to Decimal Odds
Positive money lines show the profit that would be won from a $100 bet, not including the original wager. Negative money lines show the wager required to win $100 in profit. Neither of these reflect the total payout. This is different in decimal odds.
Using decimal odds, a handicapper can easily calculate their entire payout. For example, a team with decimal odds of 3.0 would be multiplied by the wager amount to calculate the entire payout. A $20 bet with 3.0 decimal odds would pay out a total of $60 ($20 x 3.0 = $60).
The calculation to convert a positive money line to decimal odds is different from the calculation of a negative money line to decimal odds. Here’s how they convert:
How to Convert a Positive Money Line to Decimal Odds
To convert a positive money line to decimal odds, divide the money line by 100, then add 1.
Examples:
- +200 / 100 = 2 + 1 = 3.0 Decimal Odds
- +350 /100 = 3.5 +1 = 4.5 Decimal Odds
- +625 / 100 = 6.25 +1 = 7.25 Decimal Odds
Negative Lines to Decimal Odds
To convert a negative money line to decimal odds, start with the number 100 and divide it by the number in the money line, then add 1.
Examples:
- -200 Money Line: 100 / 200 = .5 +1 = 1.5 Decimal Odds
- -350 Money Line: 100 / 350 = .286 +1 = 1.286 (1.29) Decimal Odds
- -625 Money Line: 100 / 625 = .16 +1 = 1.16 Decimal Odds
Pros & Cons of Money Line Bets
When compared to a point spread, for the underdog, the benefit of a money line bet is the increased odds a handicapper receives. For the favorite, the benefit is that no handicap is given to the underdog, making it more likely their bets will win.
For the underdog, the negative is that they don’t receive a handicap, making it more difficult to win these bets. For the favorite, the negative is that the punter receives lower odds than they do when they’re giving up points on the spread.
Comparing the money line to the run line in baseball or puck line in hockey, the benefit ‘can’ be slightly reduced juice (vig, or commission). For example, many online sportsbooks charge a 5% vig on baseball or hockey money line bets. However, it’s harder to find reduced juice on run lines and puck lines, where punters normally pay 10% vig. Over the course of a season and a lot of bets, 5% can be the difference of being a winning or losing handicapper.
Pocono Organics 350 Odds
Money lines are the most popular way to bet on MLB baseball and NHL hockey, so the lines can move dramatically from the time they’re posted to the time they close. If you know how to watch lines move and predict where they’re going, money lines can offer a lot of value. For example, when betting on big underdogs in baseball, the best money line odds can often be found as soon as the lines open – before other bettors see the same value you do and bring the odds down. For big favorites, it’s often best to wait until 1-2 hours before game time. For big games with a lot of action, sharp bettors often place big wagers just before a game, which can also create optimal betting opportunities.
For casual bettors, money line bets are easier to make. There is no point spread to mull over, and all that matters is that you choose the winner.