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Errol Spence (26-0, 21 KOs) vs. Danny Garcia (36-2, 21 KOs)

Brook (39-2-0) TKO 4 14-Nov-2020. Errol Spence Jr. View fighter info. Odds data updated every 30 minutes and are subject to change.

When: Saturday, December 5th, 2020

Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington

TV: PPV

Weight Class: World Welterweight Championship: 147 Pounds

Betting Odds: Errol Spence (-338), Danny Garcia (+268). Bet your Spence/Garcia pick FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie!

Fight Analysis:

Errol Spence defends his WBC and IBF Welterweight belts against former champion Danny Garcia on November 21. It’s a tip-top 147-pound battle between two accomplished championship fighters. Unbeaten, the 30-year old Spence bounces back in this fight from a near-fatal car crash, and seeing him back in the ring after that will be refreshing to see. He certainly isn’t being eased back into action with the still-dangerous Garcia, who really needs to make a big move now to continue demanding big lucrative fights. There are a lot of dots to connect in this bout as we try to piece together the best move for Spence-Garcia.

The Philadelphian Garcia, now 32, has been in a lot of big fights, won some big ones, and achieved a lot of distinction in his career. Once a dominant and unified champion at 140 pounds, his list of victims includes big names like Amir Khan, Erik Morales, Zab Judah, Lucas Matthysse, Lamont Peterson, Robert Guerrero, and others. Since moving up to welterweight, however, he has met his match, dropping a pair of decisions to Shawn Porter and Keith Thurman.

On one hand, those two decisions were not landslide victories for either of Garcia’s opponents. He has been in nine world title bouts, so maybe two decision losses of a competitive nature aren’t enough to relegate him to the second-tier. Still, there’s a reason you don’t hear Garcia’s name much when people discuss who will reign as the top dog at 147 pounds. It’s fair to say he has cooled off some since his glory days at 140 pounds. His high-water mark, an upset win over Matthysse, was over seven years ago. I think these odds reflect the notion that Garcia’s window of big-time success may have passed him by.

It would still be a fool’s game to undersell Garcia on the basis of his name not being as hot as it once was. We’re still dealing with a natural fighter, a pure sort. His skills are immense, and even if his power doesn’t register as well at the top levels of this division, it’s not so much a reflection on him as it is the fact that this is one of the deepest 147-pound weight classes in recent memory.

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Spence’s car wreck, a near-tragic moment where Spence absorbed numerous serious injuries, is an element that looms over this fight, especially for potential Spence backers. You can assume everything is up-to-snuff, but in today’s age of limited access, how sure can you be that vintage Spence will surface? If we’re going to talk about the effects of age and ring-wear with Garcia, what do we know about the true physical toll of that car crash? Personally, I’m inclined to think that him being back in the ring, this quick attests to the rate and completeness of his recovery. They could have milked this more and kept him out well into 2021 without much complaint, and here he is, just a little over a year removed from his last fight—a decision win over Shawn Porter.

This type of boxing arithmetic doesn’t always work out, but Spence thriving against Porter and stopping Lamont Peterson, two guys who gave fits to Garcia, is worth noting. This is a time of big robust welterweights, and I think Spence has a size advantage, being a guy where it’s hard to pare down to 147, whereas Garcia has moved up and lacks the size of some of his contemporaries. Spence has also shown he can thrive against really good fighters at this weight, with big wins over Kell Brook and Shawn Porter, as well as his absolute clinic against 39-0 Mikey Garcia in 2019.

The champion does a lot of things well. He can thrive under pressure and has stood in there without much ill effect against really good fighters who were really bringing the heat on offense. Errol is good on the outside while also being a demon inside, where his bodywork and more-telling shots to the head win the day. We saw him last year using range and long-distance boxing to subdue Garcia before using his inside strength and tenacity to quell the fierce Porter. He is very fluid and quick. Spence shows a level of craft beyond his years and experience. On the inside, he ties guys up in knots while still being able to land hard shots. His defense is tight, even on the inside. He’s really the total package. The champion shows great dexterity, being very flexible, as he twists out of trouble while in the pocket. He can hunt guys down or lull them into something big.

So we ask what Garcia can do to cope with all this? Spence can be reached, and Garcia isn’t without some veteran tricks of his own. His left hook is a Philly classic, a really pure shot that can still land with a lot of impact. I just think his deficits in speed and size are major drawbacks. I think this would have been a great fight if Garcia was 25 or 26. And while he hasn’t necessarily been punished since then, a little of the edge seems to be gone. Still, picking against Garcia when his back is against the wall like this against a fighter where they may be some lingering questions from his accident isn’t something you do with an abundantly-clear head. Even so, I think Spence to win is the right move in this one. I’ll take the champ.

My Prediction to Win the Fight:

Kell Brook Vs Errol Spence

I’m betting on Errol Spence at -338 betting odds. Sure, there could be some depreciation on Spence, but Garcia’s expiration date may be in the rearview. Even if it’s not, Spence has been able to make it work at a higher level than this before, and if he were to meet his match at 147, this would be a strange time for it to happen. Note: Don’t forget that we offer free weekly NFL picks!

Spence Vs Brook Odds Basketball

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Conor McGregor and Dustin Poirier will go head-to-head in the main event of UFC 257 this weekend as the fighters meet in a rematch nearly seven years in the making.

It’s been an odd year for McGregor, who has not competed in 12 months since he took apart Donald Cerrone in only 40 seconds.

McGregor and Dana White held frustrating talks thereafter, with the coronavirus pandemic affecting the Irishman’s compensation, leading to another apparent retirement.

EXCLUSIVE: McGregor’s coach John Kavanagh talks to The Independent

Khabib Nurmagomedov is seemingly off the radar for now, having retired following his victory over Justin Gaethje in October and the passing of his father.

And without the unbeaten Russian, the lightweight division is now wide open: Gaethje remains the No 1 contender, with Poirier second, Charles Oliveira third and McGregor fourth.

FOLLOW LIVE: Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier weigh-ins

Former Bellator champion and UFC newcomer Michael Chandler has also added intrigue to the division and will take on Dan Hooker in the co-main event at UFC 257.

But the fight with the biggest impact at 155lbs is set to be McGregor vs Poirier, which is taking place six years after the Irishman knocked out ‘The Diamond’ in the first round of their clash at featherweight.

Here is everything you need to know about the seismic bout.

When and where is the fight?

The fight is on 23 January on top of the bill at UFC 257. It will take place on Yas Island in Abu Dhabi. White has confirmed that approximately 2,000 fans will be able to attend the card at the Etihad Arena.The main card is expected to begin at 3am GMT (Sunday morning), with the prelims before that starting at 1am GMT. The early prelims will get under way at 11.15pm GMT on Saturday night.

What TV channel is it on and how can I watch?

UK fans can watch the main card on BT Sport Box Office HD, as well as the broadcaster’s site and app, for a fee of £19.95.

The prelims will air to BT Sport subscribers for free.

In the US, the main card will air on ESPN+, which – along with ESPN – will show the prelims. Both channels will also air the early prelims, as will UFC’s Fight Pass.

Who will win?

Alex Pattle: Poirier is a more durable fighter at lightweight than he was at featherweight – the weight at which the pair last fought. He is also a sharper boxer, but for all the talk of Poirier’s improvements, McGregor’s own advancements should not be overlooked – despite the Irishman’s relative inactivity in the ring in recent years, he has been training non-stop. At first I found this one pretty hard to call, but as the bout has edged near, my mind has settled on Poirier lasting longer than one minute and 46 seconds this time, but not too much longer, unfortunately. McGregor via second-round TKO.

Adam Hamdani: This one really could be the war that both men are promising it to be, but Poirier seems to be hoping that a McGregor mistake is what will gift him the chance to finish the fight, but I’m not sure I’ve ever seen the Irishman look so in the zone as he is now. I can’t see any errors from him here. McGregor’s timing, size and power should give him the win by knockout inside three. This fight promises to be more competitive than against Cerrone, and an impressive stoppage could reignite the flame in Khabib for what would be the biggest event in UFC history. McGregor via KO within three rounds.

What is the full card?

Main card

Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier (lightweight)

Dan Hooker vs Michael Chandler (lightweight)

Jessica Eye vs Joanne Calderwood (women’s flyweight)

Matt Frevola vs Arman Tsarukyan (catchweight)

Marina Rodriguez vs Amanda Ribas (women’s strawweight)

Prelims

Brad Tavares vs Antonio Carlos Jr (middleweight)

Julianna Pena vs Sara McCann (women’s bantamweight)

Khalil Rountree Jr vs Marcin Prachnio (light heavyweight)

Early prelims

Andrew Sanchez vs Makhmud Muradov (middleweight)

Nik Lentz Movsar Evloev (catchweight)

Amir Albazi vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov (flyweight)

Odds

READ MORE: UFC’s commentators on calling the biggest fights in the world

McGregor: 4/9

McGregor by knockout: 4/5

McGregor by submission: 33/1

McGregor on points: 13/2

Poirier: 7/4

Spence Vs Brook Odds Ufc

Poirier by knockout: 7/2

Poirier by submission: 10/1

Poirier on points: 6/1

Spence Vs Brook Odds

Draw: 50/1